顯示具有 China 標籤的文章。 顯示所有文章
顯示具有 China 標籤的文章。 顯示所有文章

2011年12月13日 星期二

China raises rare earth export quota, EU not satisfied (Reuters)

BEIJING/SHANGHAI (Reuters) – China eased export curbs for rare earths on Thursday, restoring it to near-2010 levels in a bid to appease its trading partners, but the European Union said the measure did not go far enough to address concerns of stable supplies.

This year's second set of export quotas on the minerals made up for previous cuts and it came just a week after the World Trade Organization ruled against China's curbs on a different mix of raw materials, which some trade partners say could set a precedent.

"This is highly disappointing and the EU continues to encourage the Chinese authorities to revisit their export restrictions policy to ensure there is full, fair, predictable and non-discriminatory access to rare earth supplies as well as other raw materials for EU industries," EU trade spokesman John Clancy said in an emailed statement.

China, which accounts for around 97 percent of the world's rare earth output, has set the second batch of quotas at 15,738 tonnes, bringing the full year total to 30,184 tonnes.

The allocation has almost doubled from last year's second batch of export caps of 7,976 tonnes.

However, it is down a notch from 2010, when China limited exports of the 17 minerals crucial for global electronics production and the defense and renewable energy industries, to 30,258 tonnes.

"A first analysis of China's rare earth quota announced today shows that there is no noticeable change in the annual amount of rare earth China will allow to be exported to the EU," Clancy said.

China's policies on rare earths are closely tracked by companies and policy makers around the world, especially as suspicions have grown that Beijing was using quotas to give unfair advantages to its own producers.

The issue became a flash point late last year after China halted rare earth shipments to Japan during a diplomatic dispute, a move which worried its trade partners and underscored that Beijing was ready to use its monopoly as a political tool.

China slashed rare earth export quotas by 35 percent for the first half of 2011, choking off global supplies and causing prices to soar.

GOOD TIMING?

The announcement of the quotas coincided with China-EU trade talks in Beijing and comes just a week after the WTO ruled against China's export curbs on eight raw materials, such as bauxite, coke and magnesium.

Some have argued that ruling set a precedent on the legality of export curbs and led Europe and the United States to say China should also be forced to increase exports of rare earths.

At a briefing on Thursday, Chinese Commerce Minister Chen Deming did not mention the new quotas but sounded a note of confidence, telling reporters he was not concerned about any possible WTO challenge to Beijing's rare earths restrictions.

"The rare earth issue has not entered the WTO stage," Chen said during a joint briefing in Beijing with the visiting EU trade commissioner, Karel De Gucht.

"I am not worried because we have already had some negotiation (with the EU)," Chen said without elaborating.

At a later briefing, De Gucht said he was confident a negotiated solution could be achieved, but he added that China should publish such quotas further in advance of when they are imposed.

"The level of the quota is very important and also the predictability," he said. "What the industry needs is predictability."

ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT

Following the WTO's earlier ruling, De Gucht had said the EU, the U.S. and Mexico could consider legal action if China failed to cooperate.

"On rare earths, what we have been saying is that we want to see applied to rare earth materials the principles that have guided the WTO panel when making the judgment on the raw materials case. We want the same rules to be applied," De Gucht told reporters after he and Chen read separate statements on the morning's trade negotiations.

China expressed its intention to appeal the WTO raw materials decision, De Gucht said, adding that the rules on trade in raw materials would be clear by year-end.

In its raw materials ruling, the WTO panel said China's domestic policies fell short of demonstrating that its export duties on the materials were to curtail pollution or conserve exhaustible natural resources.

China has taken steps to consolidate and rein in its polluting rare earths industry, which may bolster its case if the raw materials ruling is used as a precedent in a similar challenge.

Beijing has said claims by countries that its export curbs on rare earths threatened their economic and national security were "groundless," and that its quotas fell within WTO regulations.

But De Gucht said China, which produced 118,900 tonnes of rare earths in 2010, cannot use environmental protection as an excuse, especially if it has not putting limits on domestic use.

"It (production) has environmental ramifications. But if that affects the production to go on the exports, it should also go for the internal consumption," he said.

(Additional reporting by Aileen Wang in Beijing, Polly Yam in Hong Kong and Yuko Inoue in Tokyo; Writing by Jason Subler and Fayen Wong; Editing by Sanjeev Miglani)


View the original article here

2011年12月10日 星期六

China almost doubles rare earth export quota (AFP)

BEIJING (AFP) – China on Thursday nearly doubled the export quota of rare earths for the second half of the year to 15,738 tonnes, amid tensions with trade partners over its grip on the shipments of raw materials.

The quota for the next six months of the year is up 97.3 percent from the 7,976 tonnes set for the same period last year, according to data from the Ministry of Commerce.

China produces more than 95 percent of the world's rare earths -- 17 elements critical to manufacturing everything from iPods to low-emission cars and missiles.

But Beijing has angered trade partners by restricting overseas shipments of rare earths, in a bid to burnish its green credentials and tighten its grip over the sought-after metals.

In December, it slashed the export quota of the metals for the first half of the year to around 14,450 tonnes, down 35 percent from the same period in 2010, after cutting the maximum by 72 percent for the second half of 2009.

The moves have led to a spike in international prices of the elements and triggered mounting complaints from foreign buyers.

The European Union on Thursday criticised the new quota, saying there was actually "no noticeable change in the annual amount of rare earths China will allow to be exported to the EU."

John Clancy, EU trade spokesman, said the new measure now covered iron alloys containing rare earths, which he said resulted in a "tightening of the quota" in practical terms.

"This is highly disappointing and the EU continues to encourage the Chinese authorities to revisit their export restrictions policy to ensure there is full, fair, predictable and non-discriminatory access to rare earth supplies."

Last week, the World Trade Organization ruled against China's export restrictions on some other raw materials than the metals.

EU trade commissioner Karel De Gucht -- who met Chinese commerce minister Chen Deming on Thursday to discuss a range of issues including rare earths -- told reporters that China would appeal the decision.

"The Chinese made it clear they are going to appeal... but if the appellate body were to confirm this decision they would take measures to live up to it," De Gucht said.

If China were to lose the WTO appeal "they realise this will have an effect on (their rare earths policy) and we have very clearly stated that we prefer to come to a negotiated solution."

The WTO upheld complaints by the United States, the European Union and Mexico that Beijing had restricted exports of industrial raw materials such as bauxite, coke, fluorspar, magnesium and manganese to help its own industries against foreign competitors.

The commerce ministry would not confirm the appeal when contacted by AFP.


View the original article here

2011年12月8日 星期四

China urges US to protect investors (AFP)

BEIJING (AFP) – China on Thursday urged Washington to protect the interests of investors, after ratings agency Moody's placed the United States's triple-A debt rating on a downgrade watch.

China is by far the top holder of US debt, with holdings at $1.153 trillion in April according to US data.

"We hope the US government adopts responsible policy and measures to ensure the interests of investors," said foreign ministry spokesman Hong Lei.

Moody's Investor Service said Wednesday it had placed the United States' triple-A rating on a downgrade watch because of rising prospects the US debt limit will not be raised in time to avoid default.

The announcement came as US lawmakers try to hammer out a deal that would allow President Barack Obama to raise the country's debt ceiling to allow it to meet its repayment obligations.

Republicans are refusing to lift the country's $14.29 trillion debt ceiling without deep government spending cuts, while they reject Democrats' demand that tax increases must be part of any sweeping deficit reduction plan.

A downgrade could sharply raise US borrowing costs, worsening the country's already dire fiscal position, and send shock waves through the financial world, which has long considered US debt a benchmark among safe-haven investments.

China has in the past raised worries that the massive US stimulus effort launched to revive the economy after the global downturn would lead to mushrooming debt that erodes the value of the dollar and its Treasury holdings.

Beijing had been cutting its holdings of US Treasurys for five months in a row until March. The figure only increased slightly in April from $1.145 trillion in the previous month, US data showed.

The foreign ministry's comments came after Chinese credit ratings agency Dagong said Thursday it had also put US sovereign debt on negative watch for a possible downgrade.

Dagong said the ability of the United States to repay debt was likely to decline given its economic growth was expected to slow and fiscal deficits to remain high in the next couple of years.


View the original article here

2011年12月6日 星期二

China oil spill six times size of Singapore: govt (AFP)

BEIJING (AFP) – A huge oil spill off the Chinese coast has now contaminated an area around six times the size of Singapore, state media reported Friday, as the government said it may seek compensation for the leak.

The spill from the oil field, which the United States' ConocoPhillips operates with China's state-run oil giant CNOOC, has polluted a total area of almost 4,250 square kilometres (1,650 square miles), government figures showed.

The figures, which were announced on the State Oceanic Administration website earlier this week but only reported on Friday, were almost five times the size of the 840-square-kilometre area previously reported.

The administration says that area remains worst affected by the spill, but that another 3,400 square kilometres have also been contaminated to a lesser degree by the oil.

The spill was kept secret by the authorities for several weeks before being made public this month, sparking suspicions of an official cover-up, and the disaster has triggered a furious public response in China.

State media said the government was considering seeking compensation from ConocoPhillips over the spill.

"We have made an initial plan to claim compensation from ConocoPhillips China," the business daily 21st Century Business Herald quoted an unnamed official from the State Oceanic Administration as saying.

"But whether and how it will be implemented still depends on the status of plugging the leak."

CNOOC said last week the spill was "basically under control" while ConocoPhillips told reporters the leaks had been plugged.

But on Wednesday the oceanic administration said oil was still leaking into the ocean and ordered ConocoPhillips to stop operations at several rigs in the polluted area until the source of the spill was fully plugged.

"There has been oil seeping continuously into the sea for days from platforms B and C in the Penglai 19-3 oilfield and there is still a slick in the surrounding marine areas," it said in a statement.

"Another spill could happen at any time, which has posed a huge threat to the oceanic ecological environment."

CNOOC has been slammed by state media and green groups over the spill, and it emerged on Tuesday that the firm was cleaning up another slick after a breakdown at a rig off the northeast coast.

ConocoPhillips said Thursday the spill was the equivalent of 1,500 barrels of oil.


View the original article here

2011年12月5日 星期一

Growth in foreign investment in China slows (AP)

BEIJING – Growth in China's foreign direct investment slowed further in June as the government tried to cool its overheated economy, data showed Friday.

Foreign investment in factories and other assets rose 2.9 percent over a year ago to $12.8 billion, the Commerce Ministry reported. That was down from May's 13.4 percent growth.

Growth in China's FDI has declined sharply following repeated interest rate hikes and government-imposed investment curbs to tame surging inflation and cool an economy that grew 9.5 percent in the latest quarter.

FDI rose 32.9 percent in March and 15.2 percent in April.

China is a top investment destination and says FDI last year totaled $105.7 billion. FDI does not include investment in stocks and other financial assets.

___

Ministry of Commerce (in Chinese): http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/ap/ap_on_bi_ge/storytext/as_china_foreign_investment/42243370/SIG=10qnrh01j/*http://www.mofcom.gov.cn


View the original article here

China to keep tight controls on property market (AP)

By ELAINE KURTENBACH, AP Business Writer Elaine Kurtenbach, Ap Business Writer – Thu?Jul?14, 6:04?am?ET

SHANGHAI – China's premier says the government will keep controls on property deals in place to help fend off a speculative bubble, reflecting top-level unease over limited progress in cooling the overheated market.

Wen Jiabao urged local governments to abide by efforts to cool the property market and to meet targets for building more affordable public housing. Such housing is meant to accommodate ordinary families unable to afford commercial property due to surging prices.

"Pressure on housing prices in some cities is still strong, and in some places controls have been relaxed," a government statement cited Wen as telling a Cabinet meeting Thursday. "The current real estate market is at a critical period. We must unswervingly stick to controlling the trends," it said.

As of the end of June, construction had begun on more than 5 million units of public housing, more than half the annual target, the statement said.

State media say more than 30 million people are having trouble finding affordable housing, and developers have been lukewarm on investing in the relatively unprofitable part of the market.

Noting uneven progress and low use rates in some areas, Wen called for fair and equitable distribution of such housing and curbs on surging rents.

Investment in property rose by nearly a third over a year earlier in the first half of this year to 2.63 trillion yuan ($404.6 billion), according to data released Wednesday.

Despite 15 months of efforts to cool the housing market, prices remain firm, according to a recent report by Standard Chartered Bank, which surveyed the situation in both large cities and in smaller provincial cities.

The government has raised interest rates and bank reserve requirements, repeatedly. Some cities have also hiked the amount of money needed for downpayments and imposed restrictions on families' purchases of second and third properties. But prices are still rising, though at a slower pace.

China's economic growth slowed to a still-robust 9.5 percent in April-June, giving Beijing room to tighten controls to fight surging inflation, which hit a three-year high of 6.4 percent in June as food prices raced higher.

Such increases worry China's communist leaders as they erode public trust in their ability to continue deliver improving living standards.


View the original article here

2011年12月3日 星期六

China to sell pork from stockpiles to dampen price (AP)

BEIJING – China's government will sell pork from stockpiles to dampen inflation that pushed up the price of its staple meat by 57 percent last month, the Commerce Ministry said Friday.

Beijing will release both frozen pork and live pigs into the market, said a ministry spokesman, Yao Jian. He gave no details but said some local governments began to sell their own stockpiles last month.

"We will release both central and local reserves into the market in due time," Yao said at a regular ministry briefing.

Economists blame China's inflation spike on higher demand driven by rising incomes that is outstripping food supplies and a flood of bank lending that was part of Beijing's response to the 2008 global economic crisis.

Inflation is politically dangerous for the ruling communists because it undermines the public's economic gains and might fuel unrest.

China is expected to produce about 51.5 million tons of pork this year, up 3 percent from 2010, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

Food inflation has been boosted in recent weeks by summer floods that damaged crops in China's south and east.

Yao said the jump in pork prices has been driven by higher grain costs, fewer pigs being raised and higher labor costs.

China's top economic official, Premier Wen Jiabao, ordered local leaders last weekend to take steps to ensure adequate pork supplies and hold down prices, according to a Cabinet statement.

Wen said ensuring stable pork prices is the government's "unavoidable responsibility."


View the original article here

2011年12月1日 星期四

China railway ministry vows to fix high-speed woes (AP)

By ELAINE KURTENBACH, AP Business Writer Elaine Kurtenbach, Ap Business Writer – Fri?Jul?15, 1:02?am?ET

SHANGHAI – China's railways ministry has promised to fix problems with power outages and other malfunctions that have plagued the showcase new high-speed line between Beijing and Shanghai since it opened last month.

Railways Ministry spokesman Wang Yongping apologized Thursday in an "online chat" posted on the ministry's website, acknowledging that the 1,318-kilometer (820-mile) line which began commercial operations June 30 has experienced several dozen power outages in the past week.

He appealed for public understanding, saying that summer thunderstorms and winds have caused some of the problems.

The Beijing-Shanghai line was opened to great fanfare on June 30, the eve of the 90th anniversary of the founding of the ruling Communist Party. Its problems are awkward given the trophy project's purpose of demonstrating China's prowess in advanced technology.

The top operational speed for the line's trains is 300 kilometers per hour (186 mph). The speed was cut from the originally planned 350 kph (217 mph) after questions were raised about safety.

On Wednesday, a high-speed train headed to Beijing broke down due to a failure of its transformers, dropping the speed to 160 kph (100 mph) and passengers had to change trains because of concern the slow speed would disrupt the entire line's operations, Wang explained.

"These malfunctions did not cause any major safety risks, but they have truly affected the railway's operation," he said.

The railway will do its best to overcome the problems and operate the trains more smoothly, Wang said.

Despite the troubles, the railway carried an average of 165,000 passengers daily from July 1 to 13, with a peak of 197,000 people, he said.

Official plans call for China's bullet train network to expand to 8,000 miles (13,000 kilometers) of track this year and 10,000 miles (16,000 kilometers) by 2020.


View the original article here

2011年11月30日 星期三

Clinton to end Asia trip with Shenzhen, China visit (Reuters)

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will end a lengthy trip to Asia by meeting Chinese State Councilor Dai Bingguo in Shenzhen, China on July 25, the U.S. State Department said on Thursday.

The department offered little detail on the substance of the talks, saying they would cover bilateral issues as well as "regional and global issues of common concern."

Topics are likely to include efforts to rein in the Iranian and North Korean nuclear programs, the popular uprisings in the Arab world and territorial disputes in the South China Sea.

Clinton will meet Dai, China's top foreign policy official, at the end of an 11-day journey that will also take her to Istanbul for a meeting of the Libya Contact Group, as well as to Greece, India and Indonesia.

(Reporting by Arshad Mohammed; editing by Todd Eastham)


View the original article here

2011年11月28日 星期一

Vatican adviser urges tougher stance with China (AP)

By NICOLE WINFIELD and RACHEL ZOLL, Associated Press Nicole Winfield And Rachel Zoll, Associated Press – Thu?Jul?14, 2:25?pm?ET

ROME – A top Vatican adviser urged the Holy See on Thursday to take a harder line against China's illicit ordinations of bishops, saying Rome's current policy of compromise isn't working.

Hong Kong Cardinal Joseph Zen denounced the third such ordination in eight months, which occurred earlier Thursday. The Rev. Joseph Huang Bingzhang was consecrated as bishop of Shantou, according to Liu Bainian, honorary president of the Chinese Catholic Patriotic Association, which runs China's Catholic churches.

The ordination deepened a standoff in which the Vatican insists the pope has sole right to appoint bishops and Beijing's Communist leaders see that position as foreign interference in their internal affairs.

Zen spoke in New York, where he was meeting with Chinese Catholic communities, and held a news conference to condemn the illicit ordinations. He questioned whether top Chinese officials were really behind them, suggesting they were more likely the work of Patriotic Association officials.

"At this moment, it's a war," Zen said.

On Wednesday, Zen took out a half-page advertisement in Hong Kong's mass-market Apple Daily newspaper to issue an "urgent appeal" to Chinese President Hu Jintao and Premier Wen Jiabao.

Zen urged the two Chinese leaders to restrain "rogue public servants" who are "using violence to assist scum inside the church to force bishops, priests, and followers to do things against their consciences."

Beijing severed ties with the Holy See in 1951 after the Communist Party took power and set up its own church outside the pope's authority.

Faithful on the mainland are allowed to worship only with the state-sanctioned church, which recognizes the pope as a spiritual leader but rejects his authority to appoint priests and bishops. A thriving underground following remains loyal to the Vatican.

Pope Benedict XVI has prioritized improving relations with Beijing and reconciling the two churches. In recent years a compromise had been reached under which both Beijing and Rome agreed on bishop candidates.

But the agreement seems to have fallen apart in recent months.

The Vatican was furious over the ordinations of the Rev. Guo Jincai in Chengde city in November and the Rev. Paul Lei Shiyin in Sichuan province just two weeks ago. It does not recognize them as bishops.

In June, the Patriotic Association said it had to urgently fill more than 40 empty bishops' seats because the vacancies were causing serious problems in the handling of church affairs.

Zen said "because of the attitude of compromise," the Vatican had been willing to accept candidates for ordination who were not really loyal to the Holy See in their hearts. He said previously, candidates had to join the Patriotic Association but "in heart" were aligned with Rome.

"Unfortunately, the Holy See was very reluctant to take action because they want to appease the Beijing government," Zen said.

On Thursday, Vatican spokesman the Rev. Federico Lombardi told reporters the Chinese ordination caused "pain and concern" at the Vatican.

"The position and feelings of the Holy See and the pope have already been expressed in previous recent circumstances," Lombardi said.

___

Zoll reported from New York; Louise Watt in Beijing and Alessandra Rizzo in Rome contributed.


View the original article here

2011年11月27日 星期日

Researcher: China worried about US economy (AP)

BEIJING – China is watching whether the Federal Reserve launches a new stimulus that might hurt China by pushing up commodity prices, a Cabinet researcher said Thursday.

The U.S. economy "has been doing worse than expected" and Beijing needs to "seriously assess" possible risks to its vast holdings of American debt, said Yu Bin, an economist in the Cabinet's Development Research Center.

"The prospects of the U.S. economy are worrying," Yu said at a government-organized briefing. Beijing uses such briefings to explain official views, though the researchers do not act as government spokespeople.

Yu expressed concern about a possible third round of Fed purchases of government bonds, known as "quantitative easing" or QE. He said that might hurt China by depressing the value of the dollar and driving up prices of commodities needed by its industries. Most commodities are traded in dollars.

The Fed bought $600 billion in bonds late last year and early this year to keep interest rates low and support prices of assets such as stocks. On Wednesday, Chairman Ben Bernanke said the Fed was ready to take action if the U.S. economy weakens and said a third round of purchases was a possible option.

"We are following closely whether the United States will introduce QE3, because we believe it will have a major impact on China's economy," said Yu, director-general of the Development Research Center's Department of Macroeconomic Research.

"The drastic rise in commodity prices caused by the devaluation of the U.S. dollar will have a major impact on inflation, on economic growth and on Chinese people's daily lives."

Yu warned that such a move also would affect the "long-term trajectory of the U.S. economy."

"Therefore, I believe the United States should be careful," he said.

China held some $1.15 trillion in U.S. Treasury debt as of the end of April, according to the latest U.S. government data. Chinese leaders have repeatedly appealed to Washington to avoid taking steps in response to U.S. economic weakness that might erode the value of the dollar and Beijing's holdings.

"As the largest buyer and holder of U.S. Treasury bonds, we need to seriously assess the risks," Yu said.

Yu said Beijing could reduce risks by restructuring its portfolio of foreign reserves and assets, though he gave no details. And he said that in the long run, Beijing has to keep a reasonable level of foreign reserves.

Moody's Investors Service on Wednesday said it was reviewing the U.S. bond rating for a possible downgrade, saying there is a small but rising risk that the government will default.

Asked by a reporter if China was concerned about the issue, Foreign Ministry spokesman Hong Lei said: "We hope that the U.S. government adopts a responsible policy to ensure the interests of the investors."

Also Thursday, a Chinese rating agency said it was putting U.S. sovereign debt on watch for a possible downgrade.

"Factors influencing the U.S. government's ability to repay its debt are steadily worsening," said the Dagong Global Credit Rating Co. "If there is no substantive improvement in its repayment ability or willingness during the observation period, Dagong will appropriately downgrade the national rating of the United States."

Dagong, founded in 1994, is little-known outside China but says it hopes to compete with global ratings agencies Moody's, Standard & Poor's and Fitch.

In its first sovereign debt report in July 2010, Dagong gave Washington a credit rating below China, Singapore and some other governments. That was a break with the global agencies, which say U.S. debt is among the world's safest.

In November, Dagong downgraded the United States from AA to A-plus, citing what it said was deteriorating U.S. ability and willingness to repay debt.


View the original article here

2011年11月26日 星期六

China pledges to clean up local government debt (Reuters)

BEIJING (Reuters) – China pledged on Wednesday to take steps to clean up hundreds of billions of dollars in local government debt, seeking to defuse concerns that a wave of defaults could derail the world's No.2 economy and hobble its state-run banks.

Described by the cabinet and the head of China's No.2 bank as a big issue, the country's mountain of local government debt has long been seen as a major risk by investors. Ratings agency Moody's Investor Services this week said the problem could be bigger than estimated, threatening banks' ratings.

A meeting of the State Council led by Premier Wen Jiabao would establish a mechanism to rectify any bad loans and tackle financing vehicles run by local governments, according to the official Xinhua news agency. The council reiterated a ban on local authorities providing guarantees for debt.

"The size of local government debt being formed over the past several years is relatively big and some risks loom, as the some regions and industries are weak in repaying the debt," Xinhua said, citing a statement after the meeting. "Local governments must continue to clean up and standardize the financing vehicles in a timely manner," it said, adding that the cabinet is paying close attention to the debt issue.

China's state auditor has estimated that local Chinese governments have borrowed a total of 10.7 trillion yuan ($1.6 trillion) by the end of last year.

But ratings agency Moody's said this week that likely understated banks' holdings of local government debt by 3.5 trillion yuan, potentially putting banks on the hook for deeper losses that could threaten their credit rating.

Moody's said it was hard to judge which banks had taken on the most local government debt, but Bank of China and China Citic Bank were among those that had lent more aggressively than their peers during China's bank lending spree in 2009. A worst case envisaged non-performing loans could reach 12 percent, compared with 1.1 percent at the end of March.

SMALLER BANKS MORE EXPOSED

Guo Shuqing, chairman of China's largest mortgage lender China Construction Bank, called the problem a "big issue" but downplayed the risks from the debt for his bank.

"For my bank, I don't think it's a big problem," Guo told an academic forum in English.

"We just choose the good projects, good companies. We also have a lot of measures to control the risk. Also these projects usually have very good cash flows," Guo said.

Many smaller lenders, while still large on a global scale, have a higher proportion of problematic loans made to local government financing vehicles (LGFV), potentially threatening their survival if defaults spiral and Beijing doesn't step in.

Shenzhen Development Bank, for example, had more than 20 percent of its loans with LGFVs as at the start of the year.

That was worse than numbers reported by major lenders such as Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and Bank of China, which said their LGFV lending stood at 13 and 9 percent of total outstanding loans, respectively.

"Any default will likely hit smaller banks more than the big national lenders," said Sheng Nan, an analyst at UOB-Kay Hian in Shanghai.

"Many of these banks have their operations only in one single geographical area, which makes them more susceptible to pressure from local governments into extending loans for projects that national banks may not want to take on."

Many executives at mid-sized banks may also have relatives or friends in local governments, and may face undue influence when extending loans, Sheng added.

RENAMING LOANS

To get around investor fears over their high levels of local government debt, many banks have taken to re-categorizing loans as lending to a public or commercial entity rather than a financing vehicle.

For example, only about 5 percent of Shenzhen Development Bank's loans are now classified as being local government financing vehicle lending, a stunning turnaround from the 22 percent it had just a year ago.

"I don't believe this is going to be a major problem for our country or the industry," bank president Richard Jackson said. "I do think it's correct to keep reducing the exposure (to local government financing vehicles)."

China's banking regulator has been allowing loans backed by an underlying asset or cashflow to be re-classified as lending to commercial projects. Such projects are typically infrastructure projects such as highways or toll roads.

"These are the healthier LGFV loans, with cashflow in the underlying project adequate to repay to loan," said Sanjay Jain, an analyst with Credit Suisse in Singapore. "As usual, the key is how valid those cash flow assumptions are."

Already, local media reports say that a Chinese highway builder backed by the Yunnan government is struggling to repay almost $15.5 billion in loans, highlighting the risks of lending to infrastructure projects that were once seen as reliable.

If the government does step in, it would be the second time since the late 1990s, when Beijing transferred the banks' bad debts to asset management companies backed by sovereign bond issues in preparation for their eventual listings.

However, such a scenario is unlikely until the current administration steps down at the end of its term next year, said Stanley Li, an analyst at Mirae Asset Management in Hong Kong.

"I'm worried the leadership has no strong incentive to tackle the issue because it's like recognizing that their fiscal stimulus was wrong," he said. "They may push it to the next government. If we do not see a clear master plan this year, we won't be seeing one next year."

(Additional reporting by Kevin Yao and Koh Gui Qing; Writing by Kelvin Soh; Editing by Lincoln Feast)


View the original article here

2011年11月25日 星期五

China raises interest rates amid inflation fight (AP)

BEIJING – China raised a key interest rate Wednesday for a third time this year as it tries to cool surging inflation.

The benchmark rate for one-year loans will be raised 0.25 percentage points to 6.56 percent, effective Thursday, the central bank announced. The rate paid on deposits will rise by a similar margin to 3.5 percent.

Inflation hit a 34-month high of 5.5 percent in May and is believed to have risen further in June even as an overheated economy cools gradually under the pressure of investment curbs and other controls.

The slowdown in some industries has prompted fears more interest rate hikes might trigger a sharp slump. But most analysts say the government should be able to avoid that.

"Benchmark lending rates are still low relative to the pace of economic growth," said Capital Economics analyst Mark Williams in a report.

Inflation is politically dangerous for the ruling communists because it erodes economic gains that underpin their claim to power and can fuel unrest.

The Cabinet's planning agency says June inflation, due to be reported next week, is likely to exceed May's level due to a jump in food costs blamed on summer floods that damaged crops.

Private sector forecasters say June inflation could pass 6 percent. They say the mix of rapid growth and higher inflation means Beijing should further tighten access to credit.

Analysts blame the inflation spike on the dual pressures of rising consumer demand that is outstripping food supplies and a bank lending boom that was part of Beijing's response to the 2008 global crisis.

Beijing relies less than other major governments on interest rates to regulate the economy. Instead, it uses more targeted controls such as loan quotas while avoiding across-the-board rate hikes that push up borrowing costs for state companies.

The rate hike also will boost costs for local governments that borrowed from banks to pay for constructing highways and other public works. A government audit report last month said local governments have piled up 10.7 trillion yuan ($1.6 trillion) in debt and some can only pay their debts by borrowing more money.

The hike in deposit rates will help to reduce losses suffered by families that keep money in the bank, though the new level still is below inflation. Analysts say the gap has prompted some savers to divert money into speculating in real estate and stocks, fueling fears of a price boom and bust.

Factory production, bank lending and other economic indicators are easing but the World Bank is forecasting economic growth of 9.3 percent this year.

___

Online:

People's Bank of China (in Chinese):

http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/ap/ap_on_bi_ge/storytext/as_china_interest_rates/42125847/SIG=10n04ukds/*http://www.pbc.gov.cn


View the original article here

2011年11月24日 星期四

Instant view: China raises interest rates for 3rd time in 2011 (Reuters)

BEIJING (Reuters) – China's central bank increased interest rates for the third time this year on Wednesday, making clear that taming inflation is a top priority even when as the economy slows gently.

Benchmark one-year lending rates will be raised 25 basis points to 6.56 percent, and benchmark one-year deposit rates will be raised 25 basis points to 3.5 percent, the central bank said in a short statement on its website.

Following are analysts comments on the move:

DUAN JIHUA, ANALYST, SEALAND SECURITIES, SHANGHAI:

"The interest rate rise is within our expectation, which shows the CPI in June could be really high.

"There are still some uncertainties hanging over the Chinese economy, so monetary policy may enter a wait-and-see period in the future.

"The rate rise, which is highly expected, would not give the market a hard blow."

COLIN BRADBURY, DAIWA CAPITAL MARKETS' MANAGING DIRECTOR/REGIONAL CHIEF STRATEGIST, ASIA EX-JAPAN:

"There's a definite chance that the numbers will disappoint, in terms of the CPI. The market's view is that June will probably be the peak month for CPI. It obviously doesn't tell anything about the future, but potentially, that June could be a little bit disappointing for the market.

"Equally again, the consensus is that inflation will peak in June. The consensus is another 25 basis points rate hike in July. And that's what we have, don't think there's anything too sinister to read into it. The question now is 'is this the last rate hike?', which is what the market certainly believes.

"There's a chance of another sell-off in Chinese banks tomorrow. but we certainly believe, if you look at the valuation profiles of the banks at the moment, they really are historically very cheap. But certainly some of the longer term investors, they might see this as a buying opportunity with a 6 month view. They might see this as a good entry point."

MICHAEL JANSEN, ANALYST, JP MORGAN, LONDON:

"The rate rise is going to reaffirm to the market that the Chinese are into this one for the long haul. This is not a short term, 'inflation is licked' yesterday story, which is what the market was almost trading on. They have been raising rates every two months, but missed the window last week. That shows that there will be more restrictions going forward. The big risk-on rally might have hit a stumbling block or two."

LIGANG LIU, HEAD OF GREATER CHINA ECONOMICS, ANZ, HONG KONG:

"Today's rate hike suggests that China's June inflation could be higher than expected and the Q2 GDP remains solid, consistent with our expectation. The rate hike will help the PBOC to fine-tune its monetary policy by alleviating the worsening negative real interest rate problem so as to prevent an outflow of deposits from the banking system.

"Meanwhile, the rate hike will have an asymmetric impact: It will help depositors more than borrowers as the market lending rate has already been priced far higher than the current policy benchmark rate.

"In addition, the very high reserve requirement has already put the banking system at a significant disadvantaged position relative to non-banking financial institution(s), which could expand quickly by taking the advantage of the regulatory arbitrage. This will then set off new risks in China's financial system.

"Looking forward, we believe PBOC's rate hikes are not yet done. There will be a need of another rate hike in Q3 so as to better stabilize rising inflation and better anchor inflation expectations."

LI JIEMING, BOND ANALYST, SEALAND SECURITIES, SHENZHEN:

"This rate hike appears to be the last for this year as the economy shows signs of a slowdown.

"With global commodity prices dropping and the base effect waning in the second half of this year, inflation is likely to peak in June.

"As far as the domestic market is concerned, bond yields have nearly fully factored in the interest rate hike as talk of such a hike has lingered for more than a month.

"The medium- and long-term bond yields should only have a space of 3 to 5 basis points to rise."

MICHAEL WIDMER, METALS ANALYST, BANK OF AMERICA-MERRILL

LYNCH:

"That should have been priced in. The market did not react particularly well to it, but there was always scope for more tightening to come through in the 2H. There were comments recently from Chinese policy makers about inflation being the key concern, so I'm not surprised."

"Perhaps one of the hopes is that you're going to get less tightening in the second half...(but) I don't think this will (happen) so you will have headwinds. There is still upside left on copper, but it's not the most bullish of all markets. I think $10,000 again, but not $12,000."

KATHLEEN BROOKS, RESEARCH DIRECTOR UK, EMEA AT FOREX.COM:

"This move was to be expected. Inflation pressures continue to rise and the Chinese authorities have signaled their intention to quash price pressures. Thus we expect today's move to have a limited impact on markets in the short-term.

"However, in the long term, investors' may start to worry that China is tightening rates just as growth is slowing down. Signs suggest the pace of expansion in the Asian powerhouse is slowing."

PRIYA BALCHANDANI, OIL ANALYST, STANDARD CHARTERED BANK, SINGAPORE:

"The government is very keen on controlling inflation, but absolute demand in China is going to continue growing. Gas oil demand is still going to go up at a steady pace.

"We will see somewhat of a drop in oil prices, but after the initial period of news absorption, I would expect the market to come back with caution."

CARL FIRMAN, ANALYST, VM GROUP:

"China has done a number of reserve requirement increases over the last several months, however you have climbing inflation, so in real terms you are not making any money by just holding cash.

"A lot of new middle-class Chinese have cottoned on to this, and there is a lot of demand for gold as a store of wealth under these circumstances. Their money is not earning anything, in fact you are getting negative returns now holding cash, whereas you are not getting that holding gold.

"I think China would need to raise rates higher and higher still until we start to see some kind of tapering off of their inflation figures."

CHEN XINYI, COMMODITIES ANALYST, BARCLAYS CAPITAL, SINGAPORE:

"We did expect a interest rate hike in the near term and that had been factored in to our view of a slowdown in demand from China, so I do not expect a major impact on prices. The next key event to watch out for in China is the State Council meeting in July which will set the tone for monetary policy in the second half of the year."

FREDERIC NEUMANN, CO-HEAD OF ASIAN ECONOMIC RESEARCH AT HSBC HOLDINGS PLC IN HONG KONG:

"China's inflation battle is almost at an end. Already, there are signs that price pressures are coming off. Today's rate hike may therefore have been the last in the cycle.

"In general, given that the authorities decided to raise rates also shows their confidence in the local economy. Worries over a hard landing on the Mainland are overblown.

"While imbalances exist, growth should hold up in the near-term, and the policy shift, after many months of tightening, will likely shift into neutral shortly."

WANG JUN, ECONOMIST AT GOVERNMENT THINK-TANK CCIEE, BEIJING:

"This is good news for the market, which has anticipated this move. The possibility of another rise in the rest of the third quarter is not big. Inflation could peak soon.

"Whether there will be more interest rate rises in the rest of the year will depend on inflation, if inflation comes down, there will be no need to raise rates. But if prices rebound, there could be further rate rises.

"The government may put more stress on safeguarding economic growth. We have seen this message from recent remarks of Chinese leaders."

QIAO YONGYUAN, ANALYST AT CEBM, SHANGHAI:

"The interest rate rise is largely in line with market expectation, as most institutions expected one interest rate rise in July.

"The move is aiming to curb the quickening inflation, which may climb to as high as 6.2 percent in the year to June.

"I think this will not flag an end of the tightening measures and the central bank could raise interest rate once more for the reminder of the year.

"The government is paying attention to high prices of pork. In addition, other the costs of non-food items also keep rising, which could add more pressure to inflation in the coming months."


View the original article here

2011年11月23日 星期三

Anger mounts in China over oil spill (AFP)

BEIJING (AFP) – Chinese media and green groups on Wednesday slammed the state-run China National Offshore Oil Corporation and the marine watchdog for keeping an oil spill hidden from the public for nearly a month.

CNOOC, in partnership with ConocoPhillips China, a subsidiary of the US oil giant, operates an oil field in Bohai Bay, off China's eastern coast, where the massive slick was detected on June 4 but only made public on Friday.

A strongly worded editorial in the Global Times newspaper accused the State Oceanic Administration (SOA) of protecting the oil giant, while the China Daily said CNOOC had an "obligation to share information".

"We cannot help but wonder: Is the SOA a serious watchdog that exists to prevent bigger incidents from happening, or a loving parent who is over-protective of his own child?" the Global Times editorial said.

Chinese-language newspapers also accused CNOOC of covering up the incident.

Such strident criticism of a large state-owned company is unusual in the Chinese media and could be a sign that Beijing is trying to boost its green credentials by showing the public it is getting tough on environmental abuses.

CNOOC vice president Chen Bi told a news conference the company was sorry for the negative impact of the spill but denied it had tried to cover up the incident.

"Ever since the founding of CNOOC we have never covered up any major oil spill," Chen told reporters.

CNOOC earlier issued a statement saying the spill was "basically under control" and that ConocoPhillips was "responsible for daily operations" of the oil field.

The SOA said Tuesday at the first government press briefing on the incident that it was probing the US firm's role in the slick, which has polluted an area measuring more than 800 square kilometres (300 square miles).

ConocoPhillips China president Georg Storaker told the news conference Wednesday that the company had notified authorities of the slick on June 4 and its priority since then had been "clean-up work".

"Both the authorities and ourselves are trying to get all the facts on the table -- this is a joint effort," Storaker added.

In an earlier statement, ConocoPhillips said "there is no oil sheen in the Bohai Bay operating area, the source of the sheen has been contained and clean-up work is close to completion".

Greenpeace lashed out at CNOOC, saying it had not learned lessons from last year's massive oil spill near the northeastern port city of Dalian, which the group said may have been 60 times bigger than reported.

Greenpeace said 60,000-90,000 tonnes of crude may have poured into the Yellow Sea in last year's incident after two pipelines exploded at an oil storage depot owned by another state oil giant, China National Petroleum Corp.

"The lessons we learned from that were companies need to release information and disclose whatever assessment they have in a very comprehensive and transparent way as soon as possible," Greenpeace activist Li Yan told AFP.

"But it seems the company has not learned from the Dalian event."

Li Xiaoming, head of the oceanic administration's Marine Environmental Protection Department, told the government news conference on Tuesday that the slick was discovered on June 4, the state-run China News Service reported.

He said the quality of water in the spill area was now at the worst level on the administration's four-grade pollution scale.


View the original article here

2011年11月22日 星期二

China dismisses reports Jiang has died (AFP)

BEIJING (AFP) – China's official media said Thursday that reports claiming former president Jiang Zemin had died were "pure rumour", after days of intense speculation about his health.

The state-run Xinhua news agency quoted "authoritative sources" in its report denying the rumour, which emerged last Friday after the 84-year-old failed to appear at celebrations marking the Communist Party's 90th birthday.

Speculation gathered momentum this week and culminated with Hong Kong and Japanese media putting out reports confirming his death.

Hong Kong broadcaster ATV announced Wednesday that the former president had died, citing unspecified sources and giving no details. It said it would air a special one-hour programme on Jiang but later cancelled it.

The Japanese daily Sankei Shimbun also reported Thursday that Jiang had died in Beijing, quoting "a source involved in Japan-China relations".

The Xinhua dispatch gave no further details on the former leader's health. Foreign ministry spokesman Hong Lei, who was repeatedly asked about the issue at a briefing, refused to comment and referred reporters to the Xinhua story.

Then in an unusual twist, ATV withdrew its news report and made a public apology "to the audience, Jiang Zemin and his family" in a brief statement.

Rumours have surfaced in the past that Jiang, who reportedly still wields a lot of power in the inner party sanctum, may be seriously ill.

His absence from the Friday gala in central Beijing was conspicuous as many other retired party and national leaders -- including former prime ministers Li Peng and Zhu Rongji -- were present.

On Thursday, searches for his name and other terms such as "cardiac arrest" -- one of his rumoured causes of death -- on the popular Twitter-like Weibo service were blocked, an indication that censors were barring information.

China routinely censors online content it deems politically sensitive. This includes the health of leaders, which is considered a state secret, apparently due to concerns illness might affect the appearance of stability in the party.

Even the word "river" -- the meaning of Jiang's surname -- was barred Thursday on Weibo, which more than 100 million Chinese people use. Typing "Jiang Zemin died" on search engine Baidu.com yielded no results either.

Jiang was appointed head of the ruling Communist Party by late leader Deng Xiaoping following the crushing of the 1989 Tiananmen pro-democracy protests.

He stepped down as the country's president in 2003 after guiding the nation through more than a decade of blistering economic growth, marked by a lack of corresponding political reforms.

Jiang is part of the so-called "third generation" of Chinese Communist leaders, a more technocratic and professional ruling elite to follow the first two "generations" of national founder Mao Zedong and then Deng.

In an attempt to get around China's online police force on Thursday, netizens were using characters that sound the same as the ones that make up Jiang's name to discuss the rumour.

For instance, they were using a character pronounced "jiang" that means stiff -- in reference to a corpse -- and "ming", which sounds similar to the last character in Jiang's name and means the underworld.


View the original article here

2011年11月21日 星期一

China raises rates, shrugs off slowing growth (Reuters)

BEIJING (Reuters) – China raised interest rates for the third time this year on Wednesday, making clear that taming inflation remains a top priority even as the growth pace of its vast economy gently eases.

The 25-basis-point increase in lending and deposit rates underscored China's quiet confidence that the world's second-biggest economy is resilient enough to endure tighter monetary policy and is not threatened by the hard landing that some investors fear.

Analysts suggested China was close to, or even at the end, of a cycle of rate rises and the latest move was a pre-emptive strike before another big jump in inflation in data next week heightens depositors' worries about low yields.

"Today's rate hike suggests that China's June inflation could be higher than expected and the second-quarter GDP remains solid, consistent with our expectation," said Ligang Liu, head of Greater China economics at ANZ in Hong Kong.

"The rate hike will help the PBOC to fine-tune its monetary policy by alleviating the worsening negative real interest rate problem so as to prevent an outflow of deposits from the banking system."

The latest move increases China's benchmark one-year lending rate to 6.56 percent, and its benchmark one-year deposit rate to 3.5 percent, the central bank said.

The increases will take effect from Thursday, the central bank said in a short statement on its website.

Risky assets, particularly those with direct links to China's growth such as the Aussie dollar, sold off after the announcement, reacting to concerns this latest monetary tightening will choke an already sluggish global economy.

China-watchers couldn't agree on whether there will be more rate rises in the second half of the year. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has raised banks' reserve requirements nine times in addition to these rate rises in its nine-month cycle of tightening monetary conditions.

"China's inflation battle is almost at an end. Already, there are signs that price pressures are coming off," said Frederic Neumann, an economist at HSBC in Hong Kong. "Today's rate hike may therefore have been the last in the cycle,"

GROWTH VERSUS INFLATION

Hopes that the PBOC may be near a pause in tightening was seen as a positive for stocks and could halt the rise in yuan onshore swap rates. Such expectations have helped the Shanghai Composite index bounce from nine-month lows hit in June.

The world's second-biggest economy expanded more than 10 percent last year but has cooled in 2011. First-quarter growth was 9.7 percent and data next week is expected to show the pace eased to 9.4 percent in the second quarter.

Evidence is growing that China's vast manufacturing sector is losing momentum, due both to tighter policy at home and slowing demand overseas.

A survey of purchasing managers showed the factory sector expanded at its weakest pace in 28 months in June, mainly owing to a drop in new orders. Many analysts reckon the pace is in keeping with an economy expanding on average at around 9 percent and industrial growth of around 13 percent.

Moreover, a double-digit increase in wages is expected to feed into already strong domestic demand.

With U.S. interest rates near zero, Beijing worries it might attract more speculative funds into China if it raises rates too far. That would exacerbate the problem of excess liquidity and further fuel inflation.

Equally, it has to placate depositors struggling with a negative real rate of return on their cash in banks.

China's inflation quickened to a 34-month high of 5.5 percent in May as elevated food prices and a red-hot property market kept price pressures alive.

A Reuters poll forecast data due on July 15 will show that inflation in June rose to 6.3 percent -- its highest reading since mid-2008. Many economists estimate inflation will peak in June or July.

Beijing is especially sensitive to rising prices that might stir social unrest and threaten its leadership.

Wang Jun, an economist at CCIEE, a government think tank, said Beijing may feel compelled to raise rates again if inflation, proves more stubborn than expected.

"If inflation comes down, there will be no need to raise rates. But if prices rebound, there could be further rate rises," he said.

(Writing by Koh Gui Qing and Vidya Ranganathan; Editing by Ruth Pitchford and Neil Fullick)


View the original article here

Nearly 70 trapped, eight dead in China coal mines (AFP)

BEIJING (AFP) – Nearly 70 miners were trapped underground and at least eight have died in a spate of mining accidents that have jolted China's dangerous mine industry in recent days, state media reported Thursday.

Four miners were killed in a gas explosion in a mine in western-most China's Xinjiang region Thursday, with one seriously injured, Xinhua news agency said.

A dozen workers were in the mine at the time of the explosion while seven escaped the shaft, it said. The cause of the explosion is under investigation.

Meanwhile the death toll in a flooded mine in south China's Guangxi province rose to four, with 18 still trapped while rescuers worked frantically to save free them, Xinhua said in a separate report.

The flood occurred on Saturday when 71 miners were in the mine, it said.

In east China's Shandong province Thursday, the number of miners trapped in a coal mine in Zaozhuang city dropped to 28, following efforts to save workers stuck in the shaft following a Wednesday night fire.

Since the fire broke out, a rescue team of over 1,000 have been working to save the over 90 miners in the mine, Xinhua said.

Twenty-three miners remain trapped in a coal mine in southwest China's Guizhou province that also flooded on Saturday.

China's coal mines have a notoriously poor safety record, which the government has repeatedly pledged to address.

In its latest campaign, the government issued a policy last year that required six kinds of safety systems, including rescue facilities, to be installed in all coal mines within three years.

In 2010, 2,433 people died in coal mine accidents in China, according to official statistics -- a rate of more than six workers per day.

Labour rights groups, however, say the actual death toll is likely much higher, partly due to under-reporting of accidents as mine bosses seek to limit their economic losses and avoid punishment.


View the original article here

2011年11月20日 星期日

Rescuers at China mine offered huge reward (AFP)

BEIJING (AFP) – Rescuers at a mine in southern China have been offered two million yuan ($310,000) for each worker they pull out alive from a colliery that collapsed at the weekend, state media reported.

Heavy rains have hampered efforts to reach 19 workers trapped underground in the coal mine in Heshan city in Guangxi region, and the official Xinhua news agency said late Wednesday six of those had the "highest chance of survival."

The report said local authorities had announced the reward, in an apparent incentive for rescuers, and quoted the Guangxi Heshan Coal Mining Company that runs the colliery as apologising for the accident.

Rescuers have already retrieved three bodies from the scene, and the report said the victims' families had signed compensation deals with the mining company, expected to be around 400,000 to 600,000 yuan.

The accident is just one in a series to have hit China in recent days.

At least 28 people are currently trapped in a coal mine in the eastern province of Shandong after a fire broke out underground on Wednesday evening, a separate Xinhua report said.

The nation's work safety administration initially said 36 people had been trapped by the blaze. But according to the report, some miners had since managed to escape.

In the southwestern province of Guizhou, meanwhile, rescuers were still battling to save 23 miners trapped in another coal mine that flooded on Saturday, the local government said Wednesday.

China's coal mines have a notoriously poor safety record, which the government has repeatedly pledged to address.

In 2010, 2,433 people died in coal mine accidents in China, according to official statistics -- a rate of more than six workers per day.

Labour rights groups, however, say the actual death toll is likely much higher, partly due to under-reporting of accidents as mine bosses seek to limit their economic losses and avoid punishment.


View the original article here

2011年11月18日 星期五

Rainstorms in China kill 25 in less than a week (AP)

BEIJING – Chinese state media say heavy rains across the country have killed at least 25 people in less than a week.

The deaths add to more than 260 people who were killed or left missing last month from seasonal floods in eastern and southern China.

The official Xinhua News Agency reported Wednesday that seven people have died in Sichuan province since new downpours started last Thursday. They included a villager who was killed Tuesday when a wall collapsed while he was removing water from his yard.

It cited rescuers in northwest Shaanxi province as saying a rain-triggered landslide there killed 18 people on Tuesday.


View the original article here